I like San Diego State and Wyoming to go under the total here. First of all itâs 6.5 points nearly a TD higher than their first meeting and we have much worse weather this time around with temperatures in the teens and 15-30 mph winds. I donât see any of these two teams doing anything crazy and expect San Diego State to really try to shorten this game as they had just 54 plays last time around 3 weeks ago.
So the last time these two met it was a 34-33 victory for Wyoming. I think QB Josh Allen was a huge part of that for Wyoming. I expect San Diego State to make adjustments to contain Allen who broke off for 56 yards rushing and 288 yards passing on just 15 completions. He was elusive and thatâs something San Diego State can game plan for. San Diego Stateâs offense wonât see any major changes in this one as I mentioned and their head coach even hinted at it as well stating, âIf you have a lot of wind, it really increases the difficulty of the game, and makes it more likely of mistakes.â This is a team that does not turn the ball over and wonât put their team in that position.
Lastly, these two teams have enjoyed very high scores the last few weeks which gives us value on the under in a conference championship game. Tremendous value on the under here in this game as I expect San Diego State to win and cover with the under.
